The Special Investigation Commission on Population Issues

Background

The population is the very basis of the state and shapes the country. Fluctuations in the population govern the size of the economy, people’s living standards as well as the state of the nation and its power. Should the current birth rate remain unchanged, Japan’s population, which stood at nearly 50 million people 100 years ago, will shrink once again to 50 million by the end of this century. And it will not be a country overflowing with the young as in the Meiji Era (1868-1912), but an old country where the elderly account for 40 per cent of that 50 million. If this happens, there is strong fear that Japan’s social vitality and the vital forces of the state will be debilitated, the politics of jealousy become rampant, and people lose confidence and become trapped in pessimism, living just for the moment. No longer will we be able to maintain the culture and traditions we have nurtured unbroken. This must not happen. It must not be allowed to happen.

Objectives

  • Examine how demographic trends are affecting the various aspects of Japan’s social structure in the context of the Greater Tokyo, life infrastructure, and public finance and the economy, and present the seriousness of the population issue.
  • Study the failures of past policies from the perspectives of population, national land, and politics.
  • Recommend an effective population policy based on the study of the failures. (The population policy referred to here alludes to both “mitigation” measures for staging a recovery in the depopulation process as well as “adaptation” measures for maintaining and improving living standards in the process.)

Private Ad Hoc Commission on the Population Issue

In April 2014, the Private Ad Hoc Commission on the Population Issue was established with the hope of upholding the spirit of the second Ad Hoc Commission on Administrative Reform chaired by the former Chairman of Keidanren (Japan Business Federation), Toshio Doko. In 1981, the government set up the second Ad Hoc Commission in order to move forward with administrative reform, declaring, “Realism will be used to examine the issues. We will find where the problems lay without any taboos.”

Report

The outcome of this research project culminated in the publication of the report,  “Japan’s Population Implosion: The 50 Million Shock,” by SHINCHOSHA Co., Ltd. in June 2015, and the English edition was published by Palgrave Macmillan in December 2017. Population decline is the greatest challenge in Japan’s history and cannot be postponed. The report examines this issue from a variety of perspectives, and makes policy proposals.

Edited by Yoichi Funabashi, Chairman, AP Initiative
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
First Published: December 30, 2017
ISBN-10: 9811049823
ISBN-13: 978-9811049828

Palgrave Macmillan *Available as e-book and individual chapters

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Ad Hoc Commission Members
(All titles current at the time)

Takashi ONISHI President, Toyohashi University of Technology
President, Science Council of Japan
Eijiro
KATSU
President & COO and Representative Director, Internet Initiative Japan Inc.
Makoto KIGAWA Representative Director and Chairman, Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd.
Hikaru KOBAYASHI Professor, the Graduate School of Media and Governance, Keio University
Masaaki SHIRAKAWA Professor, the Graduate School of International Politics, Economics and Communications, Aoyama Gakuin University
Haruaki DEGUCHI Representative Director, Chairman and CEO, Lifenet Insurance Company
Mariko MOMOI Vice President, the International University of Health and Welfare

News and Events

2016/1/26 Japan’s Population Implosion: The 50 Million Shock introduced in Nikkei Business
2016/1/18 RJIF Chairman’s essay in the Japanese monthly magazine, Ushio
2015/12/17 “RJIF Chairman’s essay in the The National Interest
2015/12/14 Japan’s Population Implosion: The 50 Million Shock introduced in Ministry of Finance’s monthly journal Finance
2015/11/17 NewsPicks column: Shinjiro Koizumi and Lawson’s Genichi Tamatsuka urge preparation for the “50 million shock”
2015/10/14 Seminar “The 50 Million Shock: The Population Decline’s Impacts on Society and Business” is held
2015/7/4 Prof. Takashi Onishi gives press conference on Japan’s Population Implosion: The 50 Million Shock (English title is tentative)
2015/6/30 “Japan’s Population Implosion: The 50 Million Shock (English title is tentative) is published”